GTI - Iranian IRIB journalist,Lapadi asked Muhammad Ma'ruf, Director of the Global Thinkers Institute (GTI), about the prospects for negotiations and war between the US, Israel, and Iran, 23/4. According to Ma'ruf, war will recur, with greater scale, and spread to the Pacific. Trump is using negotiations as a tactical tool, whether to target or assassinate Iranian leaders, intimidate Iran into handing over uranium, or create an image of Iran fearing Trump's threats.

On a military level, the more reckless Trump and Netanyahu are in launching a military attack (miscalculation), the greater Iran's advantage, as the basis for fair negotiations (diplomacy), the morality of war, consistency with international law, global support (public opinion), and military performance are on Iran's side.

Furthermore, the world is not prepared for an Iranian victory, as it would impact World Order (Multipolarity) as a whole. Unfortunately, Gulf countries, including Indonesia, have been conditioned to accept a US-Israeli victory with all its dreams of economic concessions. The Board of Peace (BoP) and the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) between Indonesia and the United States are a unified "political and economic diplomacy package" directly linked to the Greater Israel project, the Monroe Doctrine, the spirit of colonization, and the attack on Iran as a decisive step.

Trump and Netanyahu do not need international legal legitimacy to carry out military aggression against another country (Iran); they need rapid colonization, hoping to leave the world shocked and helpless. However, Iran could retaliate quickly and gradually fill the void in the UN's function as an enforcer of international law, catering to the Trump-Netanyahu narrative of war and peace.

Meanwhile, the Gulf states, which now host US military bases and gradually attack Iran, must adapt quickly, opening themselves to narrow and difficult choices: continue supporting the US-Israel attack on Iran, which could lead to the downfall of the monarchy, or gradually build strength with their own people, or gradually turn against the US-Israel revolutionaries and rebel against it. This second option is difficult for the Gulf monarchs, accustomed to being independent in deciding matters of security and economic independence.

Trump and Netanyahu are locked in a precarious position, facing a total war with Iran with limited sustainable military production and threatened with the collapse of USD hegemony, global energy and food supplies.